In September 2008, the President shall declare 38 times the word "crisis". At the time, into recession is symbolized by the collapse of the subprime bubble and the collapse of Lehman Brothers. In November 2011, the difficulties have not disappeared, but the excessive debt of the States of the euro area, combined with rising interest rates, is at issue. What, among other things, plunge Europe into a "brief period of recession," as the OECD noted in its latest report.

"The idea of ​​the all-powerful market that is always right, it's over," Nicolas Sarkozy had struck in 2008. The President would then "re-found capitalism on ethics." Today, markets, wary, put pressure on European government claiming the lowest interest rates high payday loans with no fax.And when Standard & Poor's error sends a message stating that it lowered the rating of France, no sanction can be taken, despite the threats of the Minister of Economy Baroin.

• Debt: rigor replaced the stimulus

In September 2008, the time is not in a pinch. The word "debt" is also pronounced only once on a 45-minute speech. Prime Minister Francois Fillon may well have said, from 2007, that France is in bankruptcy, Nicolas Sarkozy prefers comfort by speaking of recovery. In fact, France will suffer a crisis less severe than its neighbors: the stimulus package and the "automatic stabilizers" (welfare, RSA) have cushioned the recession. But these instruments have increased the debt.

Problem: Medicare pays very well Prevention (annual check) or interim care (treatment of tooth decay, scaling …) but very poorly prostheses. However, in the first case, it imposes tariffs and recognizes itself that they are no longer set at fair value for years.Dentists are therefore led to "remake" of crowns and other bridges, whose rates are themselves free.

"We are quite far from the disaster announced by some, said Herve Hatt, CEO Meilleurtaux guaranteed payday loans. Rates remain very attractive at the moment but the banks should pass gradually rising bond interest rates in coming months. "

Lower prices in the third quarter 2011

The average prices of real estate should they be on the downside. Many professionals have already announced cuts in the third quarter of 2011.

A successful international expansion

Casino has succeeded mainly in some countries. The group of Latin America's main platform for international expansion, although the group has some nice success in Asia (Thailand and Vietnam). First, it is Brazil, where Casino owns jointly with its parent company Rallye, 48.1% of CBD Grupo Pao de Açúcar. The success of Casino in the country had also been salivating Carrefour and its shareholders. They had tried to orchestrate a merger that was not the taste of Casino.

A successful real estate subsidiary

Casino can also count on its real estate subsidiary Mercialys. It is worth 2.56 billion euros for a wealth of 2.54 billion euros. In fact Carrefour has assets, much larger, estimated at 15 billion euros. But its real estate subsidiary project fell into the water.

Little excitement in the shareholding

At Casino, ownership has been stable since the merger in 1992 Rallye and Casino. Jean-Charles Naouri has locked the capital since its holdings Rally and Kerrous hold 51.09 and 6.49% of shares. Brother Albert is a quiet and faithful shareholder with 1.7% of the capital. At Carrefour, the float was very important before Bernard Arnault and Colony Capital will invite themselves to capital. They jointly hold nearly 14% of the shares 100% free credit score.

Governance, clear and precise

At Casino, Jean-Charles Naouri decides.At Carrefour, the change of presidents have succeeded without success. Since the departure of Daniel Bernard, nor José-Luis Duran or Lars Olofsson have managed to revive the company. On the contrary, records against Carrefour-performance, particularly in France.

To a satisfactory third quarter Casino

Wednesday, October 12 evening, Casino will publish its revenue for the third quarter. While billings should not proceed at a pace as rapid as in the first half (+18.8%) but growth is expected to remain satisfactory. Unlike Carrefour, Casino relies on strong performances in France.

The stock options

These findings illustrate the past, but investors should now focus on the analysis of the perspectives of both groups. From this point of view, the stock options is tricky.In fact, Carrefour has fallen very low and it is difficult to imagine a new fall of the action. Carrefour has suffered a lot of hedge fund strategy of buying and selling Carrefour Casino uncovered. Most of the fall of Carrefour is behind us. The recovery will take time but it should be occurring at one time or another. Casino has a real advantage for the shareholder, the group pays a regular dividend and generous. Those who want to enjoy a very high efficiency can also turn to rally, the parent company of Casino.

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He emphasized the plight of small business owners whose interest rate credit cards rose from 8% to 28% after the 2008 crisis."And since this depended on credit to manage their businesses, many of them have actually been closed," he said. "At the same time, the decision not to inject capital into banks but in reality to relieve them of their bad assets and allow them to get out of the hole left banks with super-profits and allows them to pay super bonus, "he added.

Surprising support

The confession of George Soros calls and detonates. If the wealthy American investor has always denounced the current financial system, guilty in his eyes, among other things, be detrimental to the economies of developing countries, its position is unique.

Indeed, George Soros has amassed an enormous fortune based on speculation through its investment fund Soros Fund Management.It is especially known for its raid against the British pound in September 1992, allowing him to pocket more than a billion dollars in one trading session. At first glance, his career does not echo the fight against greed advocated by the protesters.

Billionaire investor but also important philanthropist, George Soros is a man of paradoxes. Seventh richest American in Forbes in 2011, with a fortune estimated at $ 22 billion, founder and adviser of the investment fund Quantum Fund domiciled in the tax haven of the Netherlands Antilles, it supports and finances together for a long time the development of societies democratic and open especially in Eastern Europe, notably through the Soros Foundation or the Open Society Institute he created.

An investor free of dogma

At the same time investor Carlyle Group, one time advised by George H.Bush, but support for Barack Obama in 2008, George Soros is an investor wants free of dogma or ideological affiliation.

After obtaining the support of George Soros, the demonstrators were hoping this week that major U.S. unions, supporters certainly less unusual but equally crucial for the future of their movement.

The movement of those that we now call "the unworthy Wall Street" and is gaining momentum in the country can count on the support of several celebrities from the beginning of its mobilization.Thus, from Susan Sarandon to rapper Lupe Fiasco through Yoko Ono not to mention the director and unconditional destroyer of American capitalist system, Michael Moore, there are dozens of personalities, mostly from the art world, displaying their support for this movement of social revolt in the heart of the world capitalist system.

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Appeared in France in 2004, the McCafe accelerate their development. With 18 million euros in turnover in 2010, the McCafe will now represent only 1% of sales for McDonald's in France. This year, 50 new cafes have opened, bringing the total to 134. The chain is pleased to have already welcomed nearly 10 million customers since January, as much as the whole of 2010.

With the launch of these sandwiches, the McCafe wants to expand its sales morning.While McDonald's realize most of their revenues with meals, sales of McCafe are indeed distributed at different times of day: 40% are performed in the afternoon, 25% in the morning and the rest in addition to the meal at McDonald's.

"Rely on the uses of land"

For this, the American chain ensures adapt to local habits, developing a range that "locks onto the customs of the country," says Annabelle Jacquier, Business Unit Director of McCafe and Salad Bars. Croissants are filled and the menu of Italian McCafe and toasted bread filled with cheese is available in Portugal.

In France, the McCafe initiated the sale of badges and sell pastries baked on site.With sandwiches, McDonald's wants to get into habits, "the pastries were already very French, but they are pleasures to be agreement from time to time, not necessarily every day. Instead, the sandwiches are part of our daily lives, "said Annabelle Jacquier.

With this new offering morning, the channel hopes to "increase the frequency of visits and bring in new customers." "The goal is to sell as many breakfasts of pastries that we sell today," said Annabelle Jacquier. The offer of Mc Cafes continue to "French" with the launch in late October, pastries Regional: kouign-Amann, fluted Bordeaux and Paris-Brest will rub and muffins and brownies already proposed.As for McDonald's restaurants, they offer sandwiches to stick next year.

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Thus, at the height of the financial bubble, the specialist in financing local authorities have attributed to 25 billion euros of toxic loans to its customers, the newspaper said. "According to the estimate made by the bank, the additional cost of these loans was estimated at 3.9 billion euros at the end of 2009" advance the paper before adding "which means that communities should pay a penalty of this order. "

There would be no distinction between the municipalities affected by the specter of the subprime crisis in the French style.Thus, "communities of both right and left, the large urban communities and small towns" are concerned. The newspaper cites the example of Antibes "who had borrowed 60 million would pay 21 million in addition to that amount." Other departments are also affected: "The department of the Loire regulations, provide a slate of 22 million in excess of 96 million of loans and toxic Hospital Dijon should carry 31 million of interest on a loan-toxic 111 million, "wrote Libération.

Dexia is the only bank to have provided loans to local governments devunus toxic. The Caisses d'Epargne, Crédit Agricole and Societe Generale have also been on the market.

Already earlier this month, Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France revealed that hundreds of municipalities had been trapped by debt indexed to the Swiss franc.Attracted by interest rates below the market and claimed to be safe investments by banks, many local authorities have in fact left tempted by products called "structured" using variable rates indexed on currencies such as the Swiss franc. Now with the recent outbreak of the franc, the interest rates on these investments have soared, up to 20%, and early redemption penalties are sky high.

These issues should be discussed today at the National Assembly. Claude Bartolone, PS deputy and president of the General Council of Seine Saint Denis, presiding over a commission of inquiry "on risky financial products underwritten by local players." The latter particularly concerned after discovering that his department is surrendétté has declared war on the banks.

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More limited carrying capacity

Estimates of the study Mastercard "Report on the economic impact of Rugby World: 2011 World Cup," the economic activity generated by the event is expected to reach $ 654 million (479 million), 18 % less than the 2007 edition in France. Main reason: the carrying capacity, especially in the stages are not the same. In New Zealand, the largest chamber (the Eden Park in Auckland) can accommodate 60,000 rugby fans. This figure drops to 40,000 for the second largest stadium. In total, only five of the twelve speakers in the competition beyond the 30,000 seats. In France in 2007, all exceeded the 32,000 seats.Enough to blow up the number of tickets sold in the Hexagon at 2.25 million, against 1.35 million sold in 2011 according to MasterCard. Next visitors, a double standard as well, since 95,000 fans are expected in the country of Blacks against more than 325,000 in 2007.

Overall, the economic impact of the sixth edition of Rugby World Cup in 2007 was estimated at 540 million euros, of which over 85% from the tourism (spending by spectators, lodging, drinks, souvenirs …). A record that does not beat New Zealand in terms of direct benefits. It remains to know the net financial gain from the competition.Those of this edition will not be known precisely until a few weeks, but we know already that they will be affected by 550 million euros spent on building or renovating stadiums, where France had limited its expenses (most stadiums were renovated for the World Cup soccer in 1998). The catastrophe of Christchurch should also weigh on the accounts. In 2007, net income of the competition had reached about 113 million euros, while New Zealand could lose money on this event.

The hearing will be at the rendezvous

The only consolation for the organizers of New Zealand against the semi-economic success: the increasing popularity of the rugby world should not be questioned. About 4 billion viewers (cumulative audience) should follow the matches of the competition.Almost as much as 4 years ago (4.2 billion according to URS Finance and Economics and the International Rugby Board). More than 220 million euros in marketing and TV rights for the event have been sold by the IRB, against only 190 million for the French edition of 2007. The fact is that New Zealand will not see the color of money, revenue from TV rights and advertising contracts falling directly into the pocket of the Board, to fund the global development of rugby.

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The U.S. employment under the microscope

In addition to the announcement of the ECB, investors have ignored another bad news when they were expected to decline, weekly jobless claims rose in the United States during the week to September 3, at 414,000 against 412,000 (revised) the previous week. Also across the Atlantic, the trade deficit to have significantly declined in July to $ 44.8 billion after two consecutive months above 50 billion, with an unexpected surge in exports.In addition, U.S. inventories of crude oil fell more than expected last week, revealed the U.S. Agency for Energy Information (EIA). They fell 3.96 million barrels to over 353 million, while economists had forecast a decline of 1.9 million barrels.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday and will weigh heavily on the next sitting: those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy. This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth. Above all, the U.S. president will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth.It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro continues to widen its losses: the European currency fell to 1.3945 dollars, its lowest level since July 12.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Banks react well to the image of Natixis (2.64% to 2.64 euros), which completes the session ahead of CAC 40 instant payday loan.For their part, Societe Generale gained 0.67% to 19.510 euros, BNP Paribas rose 1.86% to 32.230 euros and Credit Agricole rose by 1.93% to 5.858 euros.

• Areva (-1.40% to 20.475 euros)

The French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• Gemalto (5.61% to 35.475 euros)

The title leads increases the SBF 120, the group is in the midst of "road show", between August 26 and September 15, analysts point out. The action bounces also important on a technical device, which accentuates the rise in the stock, analysts note charts.Since August 25, the title was up over 13%.

• EADS (-1.07% to 21.640 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (-0.53% to 10.285 euros) and EuropaCorp (-0.91% to 3.26 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -3.27% to 26.605 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: 0.10% to 20.510 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: 2.12% to 67.29 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: -1.27% to 49.29 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline.U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: + 1.36% to 12.315 euros, Vivendi: 0.16% to 16.090 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million. Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

For security, the three New York airports – JFK, La Guardia and Newark – will be closed to aircraft arriving Saturday at noon (18 hours Paris time). The flights from these airports, however, may take off until further notice. This is an extraordinary disruption to an area that typically concentrates the air flow one of the densest in the world: each year, as many as 100 million passengers pass through this metropolis.This weekend, nearly 8,000 flights should be canceled.

Like most of his counterparts, Air France announced Friday the cancellation of all flights to New York JFK on Saturday and Sunday, while disturbances are waiting on those provided to and from other cities the coast, like Washington, Philadelphia or Boston. The resumption of service, from Monday, could also be laborious and cause further disruption, have also warned the airlines.

Transport suspended

Measure more tangible for the people, public transport will be suspended in the Big Apple this Saturday from noon until probably Monday rush hour. The subway, buses and railways do not circulate. Motorists have also been asked to leave their cars at home until the alert is lifted.If winds exceed this weekend 96 km / hour, the authorities of the State of New York have also warned they would close the main roads towards the city, and some bridges.

Given the restriction of transportation and possible damage caused by the passing of Irene, the inhabitants were ordered to stockpile water and food in preparation for the weekend. "Water is our product that sells best," noted the retailer Wal-Mart on Friday. Many are those who are armed with power generators in case of power failure.

To address these potential damages, the cost could rise to nearly $ 12 billion according to consulting firm Kinetic Analysis, U.S. authorities are preparing to deploy in new ways.900 National Guardsmen and 2,500 workers in the electricity sector include ready to intervene in case of power failure. All these measures aim to avoid at all costs repeating a scenario to Katrina, the hurricane that was painfully struck New Orleans in 2005.

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