"We are quite far from the disaster announced by some, said Herve Hatt, CEO Meilleurtaux guaranteed payday loans. Rates remain very attractive at the moment but the banks should pass gradually rising bond interest rates in coming months. "

Lower prices in the third quarter 2011

The average prices of real estate should they be on the downside. Many professionals have already announced cuts in the third quarter of 2011.

For two years, confidence in the Italian government has been falling as steadily deteriorating relationship with the political world."Concerned about a financial crisis, two-thirds of Italians believe that the worst is to come, distressed by unemployment and social welfare in a period of greater vulnerability, they felt that no one took him round the waist problems, do not even recognize the existence, says Nando Pagnoncelli, director of Ipsos. Neither the government and elected a parliament that does not debating the privacy of the Chairman, corruption and their internal battles. "Not only the Italians refuse to grant more confidence in Berlusconi but, having in head the failure of the Prodi team in 2008, after a year and a half of government, they can not believe that the Left in power would be able to govern.

The purpose of the meeting, namely save 12,000 points, was not required. The wait has indeed been the watchword of the early week, prior to the G20 on Thursday and Friday in Cannes, where details should be made on the details of the agreement found in anti-crisis pain last week by the European leaders.The meeting of 20 major economies is also expected to learn more about the country or not willing to provide assistance to the euro area, particularly those that abounded to strengthen the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).

From this point of view, the information coming from China will be scrutinized carefully, as the rumor last week gave ready to help the euro area up to 100 billion. Confirmation of this outstretched hand should be seen by investors as an additional guarantee of the remoteness of the risk of contagion of the Greek crisis in the entire euro area cash advance today. Saturday, the credit rating "AAA" of EFSF was confirmed by the three rating agencies, Standard and Poor's, Moody's and Fitch.

Despite the caution expected, the decline is somewhat less pronounced than in other financial centers.If macroeconomic issues set the tone in the markets in recent weeks, the place New York has received quarterly publications of good quality. According to Bloomberg, three-quarters of the S & P 500 so far released their half year exceeded expectations. On average they exceeded analysts' forecasts of 5.8%. What support the stock market rally seen across the Atlantic: September 30, the U.S. benchmark index has awarded nearly 11%.

The dollar advance against the yen, oil decline

The decision of the Japanese government, who spoke Monday on the foreign exchange market to weaken the yen, playing on the foreign exchange market. To 21 hours in Paris, the U.S. dollar rose against the Japanese currency to 78.16 yen against 75.81 yen on Friday night. For its part the European currency rose to 108.98 yen against 107.31 yen Friday.

The investigation of this type of case takes on average between 12 and 18 months. But the length of the procedure does not scare GDF Suez, which the argument is simple: the law requires that the procurement costs of the company are covered by fees, and grant a small margin. Upon arrival, if the formula price was applied on October 1, gas prices for individuals would have had to climb 10%.GDF Suez's estimated shortfall by the end of the year to some 290 million euros.

For its part, the Commission for Energy Regulation (CRE), the industry policeman, issued an opinion unfavorable to the Government Order. Meanwhile, the regulator gave the Minister of Industry, a report on the Exploring the evolution rate of increase gas prices. One of the measures mentioned by the CRE is to increase – in the development of the formula – the share of the market price of gas now cheaper for the consumer and supply contracts in the long run.

This design technique should allow to reconcile the evolution of gas prices with the political imperative to avoid any increase, especially brutal.

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Michalis CHRYSSOHOÏDIS – France is a strategic partner, the second largest foreign investor after Germany. I will meet with the bank Oséo. The SME Bank is to me a model success story. It has supported companies in recent years and has funded the development of France. We want to inspire us to create our own investment bank. Then I meet Baroin and companies interested in investing in Greece. I see a great interest on their part especially since the launch of the privatization program.

Why are these privatizations n'avancent not they?

Be careful. We want to value the assets of the country and not sell everything, quickly and cheaply. Do not believe everything we Bradon. Foreign companies have this impression because of the crisis.But investors must understand that they must add value to the country by buying companies, they will not buy at bargain prices just because the Troika (EU, ECB and IMF) has set targets for privatization.

What are your criteria for selecting candidates?

It will take commitments in terms of jobs and investment. A Greek in two is unemployed. Yet young people are highly educated. The vast majority has a lot of degrees and study abroad. We can not continue to let them emigrate abroad and lose our minds. We have no preference on the nationality of the interested companies. The European framework does nothing, so if we have good proposals from non-European groups – from Asia for example – we will take seriously into account.We must establish a business model that will be based on production, competitiveness and trade.

But the Troika impatient …

We will fulfill the objectives of the 4 billion privatization by the end of the year. But you know, the Troika also wants the success of this program. His emissaries were correct in finding that there had been delays in structural reforms, but they must understand that we have passed a series of reform laws that are not spent in the company, in the real economy business

Lionel Heurtin – I do not know if it's a good thing but I see that the composition of the CAC 40 reflects the French industry side. Total is the largest market capitalization (71.9 billion euros at September 23), Sanofi, the second (62.5 billion) and LVMH (53.3 billion) in the third. There is a little less than a year, BNP Paribas was one of three French companies the most important stock exchange. Today it was down in sixth place and is the only bank to be among the ten largest companies by market capitalization French.The summer market slump prompted investors to retreat to defensive stocks.

After Natixis, can we consider the output of another bank in the CAC 40?

Although they have declined sharply during the crisis, banking stocks are among the largest market capitalizations French. Depending on the current caps of different values, it would be more companies like Accor, Cap Gemini, STMicroelectronics and Veolia Environnement, which would be threatened to leave the Cac 40. More than a bank exit of the Paris stock, rather a good idea to expand the ACC and raise it to 100 values. To cover their risks, some investors sold financial products built on evidence without looking at the fundamentals of companies. What weighs particularly on large caps, so Total and Sanofi.It is surprising that the market has completely reversed in 10 years. In 2000, small caps were the cheapest. Today it is the large caps.

Mistrust vis-à-vis the banking stocks is justified?

I think the attacks against banking stocks are exaggerated. The markets are scared. The exposure of French banks to Greece is not so high, the Italian term change of government, and will implement austerity measures more easily and Spain, the big banks are sound, even if uncertainties remain on the property. To reassure investors would require the state, as in 2009, requires a preferential action on banks to retain a veto, rather than nationalize – which would dilute the shareholding and could worry investors.Now I do not think that French banks may need to be recapitalized.

Is this the right time to buy bank stocks?

It is still perhaps a little early, but there are many sellers in the market and very few buyers. I sold a lot of banks in 2007, I come back gradually: I particularly strengthened BBVA in Spain. In France, there must be only 20% of equity managers who banks at the level of evidence and beyond in their portfolio. The decision to return to this sector should create value. Three years ago, banking stocks were worth 3 times their equity. Today they are worth between 0.3 and 0.4 times their capital. I feel more comfortable with banking stocks today than in 2007, while capital increases should step in and dilute the potential revaluation.

The dissenting voice of the German finance minister

But Christine Lagarde acknowledged that differences still exist between the IMF and ECB experts on the methodology to achieve the quantification of the capital requirements of banks.The final decision of the IMF should be in the final report, whose publication is expected by the end of September. The difference analysis between the IMF and the Europeans based in part on how to account for the value of government bonds of countries at risk in banks' balance sheets payday loan lenders. The former are open to the idea of ​​using their market value, while the latter prefer internal models are less sensitive to changes in short-term securities.

Meeting in Marseille on Friday and Saturday, finance ministers from the euro zone wanted reassurance on the European banking system, swearing that he will not go bankrupt. All? Not a voice was more concerned desired. That of the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, who would, according to Spiegel, already developed a plan to prevent the bankruptcy of Greece.That should not reassure the financial markets the Cac 40 lost a quarter of its value in two months going over under the 3000 points – while a crucial week promises to Greece and the euro area.

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In addition, the Atlantic, financial markets are close to their level of January 1, which could be an equilibrium point. Also an element of support for the Paris Bourse, even if it is far from that level (3847.63 points Jan. 3, 2011).

Chapter macroeconomic, investors will take 12 hours of knowledge in agricultural price indices in July.United States, the employment figures for August will be published in the early afternoon followed by the index of industrial activity in the Chicago area and industrial orders in July and stocks crude oil.

On the currency front, having been an upward trend since the beginning of the week, the euro fell slightly against the dollar on Wednesday after the announcement Tuesday in a poor indicator of the European economy weighed on the currency European. At about 8 am in Paris, the European currency was worth 1.4428 dollars against 1.4437 dollars late Tuesday.

Values ​​to follow

In a market with relatively low volumes since the beginning of the week is a new salvo of publication of results, broadly in line with expectations, that drives the third weekly session.

In particular Bouygues strongly supports the trend.After a brief suspsendu scoring the opening, the title of group jumped 10% to 25.40 euros. The conglomerate has finally published its results on Wednesday, not Tuesday reported on the acquisition of 11.7% of its shares for 1.25 billion euros, a 30% premium over the closing price of the security last night. In addition, the group published a half-year net profit down 27% to 391 million euros.

Similarly, Vivendi (4.17% to 16.85 euros) said it had doubled its half-year net profit to 2.5 billion euros, with a net gain of $ 1.2 billion related to the settlement of a dispute over the PTC shares in Poland.Its subsidiary, Canal +, 80% owned by Vivendi, reported first half sales of 2.39 billion euros, up 2.8% year on year, operating profit increasing by 1, 9% over this period.

In turn, Carrefour is the sentence (-4.24% to 17.85 euros), after the group announced a net loss of 249 million euros in its first half. Above all, the group has revised downwards its forecasts, expects 15% drop in its earnings.

Last night, L'Oreal (-2.83% to 74.83 euros) has reported an increase in operating profit of only 2% to 1.70 billion euros in the first half.Its operating margin for its part fell 50 basis points to 16.8%, while analysts expected an increase, on average expected a figure of 17.5%.

Vinci (0.63% to 35.76 euros) for registration in the first half net profit up 15.7% year on year and raised its annual forecast.

Cac 40 off the healthy group Hermes (1.13% to 267.95 euros) is confirmed.The specialist luxury published net income up 49.5% to 290.9 million euros.

Bolloré (0.38% to 158.60 euros) saw its net profit grow by 29%, boosted by a gain from the sale of shares of the maker of seamless steel tubes Vallourec.

For its part, Havas (0.98% to 2.779 euros) announced net income up 8% in the first half thanks to an improved operating margin.

Aéroports de Paris (-0.37% to 56.64 euros) it has slightly lowered its forecast for fiscal 2011.

Hi-media (-7.26 euros, 3.32 euros) back into the green in the first half, revealing a net profit of 5.1 million euros.

For its part, the oil reacts little to the continued rise in oil prices, and the strategic agreement signed between Rosneft and will explore together the Arctic and as such invest $ 3.2 billion.Technip s'ajduge 0.66% to 65.40 euros and total advance of a small 0.54%, to 33.34 euros.

For its part, Bourbon wins 0.84%, to 22.68 euros. The oil services specialist maritime published a group net profit halved in the first half, to 41 million euros, but put on a recovery in the offshore oil and gas. It also confirms the objectives of its 2011-2015 plan.

Note that Ruby, Mersen (ex-Carbone Lorraine), April, Lagardère, Outremer Telecom, Eiffage, Stef-TFE, Fleury Michon, Bongrain, GFI Informatique, Gameloft, Sopra, Virbac, Reculex, Mr. Bricolage and reveal their Guyenne et Gascogne half-year after the stock market.

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Investors also benefit from a further weakening of the yen against the dollar and the euro the dollar was trading at 76.7 yen (0.10%) and currency EUROPEAN, 111.49 yen (0.36 %). However, some export values ​​do not. This is the case of Toyota who drops 1.91% to 2715 yen, Honda lost 1.22% to 2415 yen.However, Sony climbed 2.82% to 1637 yen.

The oil prices down slightly

Chinese markets are evolving in a piecemeal: the Hong Kong Hang Seng rose 1.51% to 19,879.50 points while the CSI 300 Shanghai loose 1.30% to 2863.39 points. According to Reuters, China has reportedly asked its banks to include their deposits in reserves required by the Central Bank.As a result, Chinese banks are severely impacted the stock market: China Merchants Bank 3.13% to loose 11.74 yuan, China Citi Bank lost 3.45% to 4.47 yuan and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China sells 1.44 % to 4.1 yuan.

On the other Asian financial centers, investors are generally in good spirits Monday morning: the Taiwan TAIEX advances 1.79% at 7578.01 points, the Kospi in Seoul gained 2.96% to 1831.55 points, the S & P / ASX 200 was up sharply from 1.82% to 4276.50 points, the BSE Sensex up 30 wins 2.64% to 16,268 points and the FTSE Straits Times rises from 1.33% to 2784.85 points.

Oil prices were slightly lower Monday morning during electronic trading in Asia, due to the drop-off in demand after the closure of airports on the east coast of the United States, when Hurricane Irene, have analysts said.In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gave 13 cents to 85.24 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery let go 28 cents to 111.08 dollars.