In September 2008, the President shall declare 38 times the word "crisis". At the time, into recession is symbolized by the collapse of the subprime bubble and the collapse of Lehman Brothers. In November 2011, the difficulties have not disappeared, but the excessive debt of the States of the euro area, combined with rising interest rates, is at issue. What, among other things, plunge Europe into a "brief period of recession," as the OECD noted in its latest report.

"The idea of ​​the all-powerful market that is always right, it's over," Nicolas Sarkozy had struck in 2008. The President would then "re-found capitalism on ethics." Today, markets, wary, put pressure on European government claiming the lowest interest rates high payday loans with no fax.And when Standard & Poor's error sends a message stating that it lowered the rating of France, no sanction can be taken, despite the threats of the Minister of Economy Baroin.

• Debt: rigor replaced the stimulus

In September 2008, the time is not in a pinch. The word "debt" is also pronounced only once on a 45-minute speech. Prime Minister Francois Fillon may well have said, from 2007, that France is in bankruptcy, Nicolas Sarkozy prefers comfort by speaking of recovery. In fact, France will suffer a crisis less severe than its neighbors: the stimulus package and the "automatic stabilizers" (welfare, RSA) have cushioned the recession. But these instruments have increased the debt.

Yesterday the market was still tune in slow motion. The trade volume has exceeded painfully € 2 billion on the great values ​​of the Paris stock exchange. On this day of "Black Friday" in U.S. markets opened for a half session. This day, like every day after Thanksgiving, sounds the start of the race for Christmas Atlantique.Chasse addition to good affairesAprès six consecutive sessions of sharp declines, few operators present at the Paris Stock Exchange engaged in an intense bargain hunting in financials and cyclicals cash advance.Operators complain German blockages on the tasks of the European Central Bank (ECB). France advocates a more determined it to help countries in trouble. Germany refuses. Sign of the tensions still very strong on sovereign debt, the performance of the Italian debt in two years reached a new peak since the creation of the euro, exceeding 8% in session on the secondary market.

Values ​​to follow

Axa (1.67% to 8.85 euros)

Groupama considered too low prices offered at this stage for its subsidiary Gan Assurances and may delay the sale beyond the end of 2011, reports vendrediLes Echos.

A successful international expansion

Casino has succeeded mainly in some countries. The group of Latin America's main platform for international expansion, although the group has some nice success in Asia (Thailand and Vietnam). First, it is Brazil, where Casino owns jointly with its parent company Rallye, 48.1% of CBD Grupo Pao de Açúcar. The success of Casino in the country had also been salivating Carrefour and its shareholders. They had tried to orchestrate a merger that was not the taste of Casino.

A successful real estate subsidiary

Casino can also count on its real estate subsidiary Mercialys. It is worth 2.56 billion euros for a wealth of 2.54 billion euros. In fact Carrefour has assets, much larger, estimated at 15 billion euros. But its real estate subsidiary project fell into the water.

Little excitement in the shareholding

At Casino, ownership has been stable since the merger in 1992 Rallye and Casino. Jean-Charles Naouri has locked the capital since its holdings Rally and Kerrous hold 51.09 and 6.49% of shares. Brother Albert is a quiet and faithful shareholder with 1.7% of the capital. At Carrefour, the float was very important before Bernard Arnault and Colony Capital will invite themselves to capital. They jointly hold nearly 14% of the shares 100% free credit score.

Governance, clear and precise

At Casino, Jean-Charles Naouri decides.At Carrefour, the change of presidents have succeeded without success. Since the departure of Daniel Bernard, nor José-Luis Duran or Lars Olofsson have managed to revive the company. On the contrary, records against Carrefour-performance, particularly in France.

To a satisfactory third quarter Casino

Wednesday, October 12 evening, Casino will publish its revenue for the third quarter. While billings should not proceed at a pace as rapid as in the first half (+18.8%) but growth is expected to remain satisfactory. Unlike Carrefour, Casino relies on strong performances in France.

The stock options

These findings illustrate the past, but investors should now focus on the analysis of the perspectives of both groups. From this point of view, the stock options is tricky.In fact, Carrefour has fallen very low and it is difficult to imagine a new fall of the action. Carrefour has suffered a lot of hedge fund strategy of buying and selling Carrefour Casino uncovered. Most of the fall of Carrefour is behind us. The recovery will take time but it should be occurring at one time or another. Casino has a real advantage for the shareholder, the group pays a regular dividend and generous. Those who want to enjoy a very high efficiency can also turn to rally, the parent company of Casino.

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Announced tonight the death of the charismatic leader will Apple does the same concerns in the markets? It is no surprise to Apple's shareholders. The charismatic leader had prepared his departure, giving the reins of his company to Tim Cook. But his death marks indeed the end of an era for the firm at the apple.

In exchange, if Apple has lost 1.31% to 279.25 euros on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, the stock has limited the damage in New York, falling 0.23% to 377.37 dollars after gaining 1% in first exchanges.

The title after the stand 4S iPhone

Steve Jobs as a CEO was not like the others.Associated with the image of the company he co-founded, he was also in stock. Apple has become the first in the world market capitalization, elbow to elbow with Exxon Mobil pay day loans.

As Steve Jobs made Apple, Steve Jobs's health was reflected in the title. Suffering from cancer since 2004, the group leader had to leave several times, until he left there just over a month, on August 25. Each announcement related to his health problems, the markets feared for the future of the group and the title suffered large fluctuations.

Two days ago, the title fell by 5% during the session along with the presentation of the 4S iPhone. The latest version of Apple's flagship phone, slightly different from the previous one, was disappointed the markets, hoping to iPhone 5.But the title was returned to the balance at the end of the session and finished on a moderate loss of 0.56% to 372.50 dollars. Sign that investors want to believe in the capacity of Tim Cook to keep the group at the top.

On the agenda, the capital of these institutions. While the debt crisis spreads, Europe wonders if its banks could absorb the shock of a default of Greece. Especially since the hypothesis of a failure of Athens is no longer taboo.This is why the French government is proposing to inject 10 to 15 billion euros of public money to strengthen bank capital.

Several forms of intervention would be considered, since the loan to the simple issue of preference shares (private equity voting rights) with options to purchase, understands the JDD. The initiative comes as the Bercy banks are suffering on the stock market. This week, bank stocks have suffered losses of more than 10%. Since July 1, the Societe Generale shares tumbled 61%, 58% of Crédit Agricole and BNP Paribas 53%. Aggravate the climate of distrust surrounding the French banks, groups such as Siemens or Meetic, decided to limit their exposure to these institutions. As the major U.S. money market funds.

Project buried by BNP Paribas

According to the JDD, Societe Generale would have accepted the plan, subject to conditions.CEO Frederic Oudéa, would have liked all the French banks are concerned to avoid pointing the weaknesses of the one or the other in particular. But Baudoin Prot, CEO of BNP Paribas, had initially refused this rescue group, burying the coup the project. It must be said that he repeats everything is that BNP Paribas does not need a capital increase. Last week, it was stepped into the breach to deny information from the Financial Times that the group was looking for a new shareholder in Qatar.

For its part, the Elysee denies the existence of a backup plan. "This is absolutely not being prepared," insisted the entourage of the Head of State to the JDD. "Banks have increased their capital by 50 billion euros since 2008.We encourage them to do, but not with public money. "Also interviewed by the Sunday newspaper, Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France said that there was" no plan ". He said French banks have "a substantial capital base, comparable to those of other European banks, and are profitable." Investors would also not fooled. "I see no sign of a run and the very idea seems preposterous."

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Thus, at the height of the financial bubble, the specialist in financing local authorities have attributed to 25 billion euros of toxic loans to its customers, the newspaper said. "According to the estimate made by the bank, the additional cost of these loans was estimated at 3.9 billion euros at the end of 2009" advance the paper before adding "which means that communities should pay a penalty of this order. "

There would be no distinction between the municipalities affected by the specter of the subprime crisis in the French style.Thus, "communities of both right and left, the large urban communities and small towns" are concerned. The newspaper cites the example of Antibes "who had borrowed 60 million would pay 21 million in addition to that amount." Other departments are also affected: "The department of the Loire regulations, provide a slate of 22 million in excess of 96 million of loans and toxic Hospital Dijon should carry 31 million of interest on a loan-toxic 111 million, "wrote Libération.

Dexia is the only bank to have provided loans to local governments devunus toxic. The Caisses d'Epargne, Crédit Agricole and Societe Generale have also been on the market.

Already earlier this month, Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France revealed that hundreds of municipalities had been trapped by debt indexed to the Swiss franc.Attracted by interest rates below the market and claimed to be safe investments by banks, many local authorities have in fact left tempted by products called "structured" using variable rates indexed on currencies such as the Swiss franc. Now with the recent outbreak of the franc, the interest rates on these investments have soared, up to 20%, and early redemption penalties are sky high.

These issues should be discussed today at the National Assembly. Claude Bartolone, PS deputy and president of the General Council of Seine Saint Denis, presiding over a commission of inquiry "on risky financial products underwritten by local players." The latter particularly concerned after discovering that his department is surrendétté has declared war on the banks.

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The U.S. employment under the microscope

In addition to the announcement of the ECB, investors have ignored another bad news when they were expected to decline, weekly jobless claims rose in the United States during the week to September 3, at 414,000 against 412,000 (revised) the previous week. Also across the Atlantic, the trade deficit to have significantly declined in July to $ 44.8 billion after two consecutive months above 50 billion, with an unexpected surge in exports.In addition, U.S. inventories of crude oil fell more than expected last week, revealed the U.S. Agency for Energy Information (EIA). They fell 3.96 million barrels to over 353 million, while economists had forecast a decline of 1.9 million barrels.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday and will weigh heavily on the next sitting: those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy. This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth. Above all, the U.S. president will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth.It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro continues to widen its losses: the European currency fell to 1.3945 dollars, its lowest level since July 12.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Banks react well to the image of Natixis (2.64% to 2.64 euros), which completes the session ahead of CAC 40 instant payday loan.For their part, Societe Generale gained 0.67% to 19.510 euros, BNP Paribas rose 1.86% to 32.230 euros and Credit Agricole rose by 1.93% to 5.858 euros.

• Areva (-1.40% to 20.475 euros)

The French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• Gemalto (5.61% to 35.475 euros)

The title leads increases the SBF 120, the group is in the midst of "road show", between August 26 and September 15, analysts point out. The action bounces also important on a technical device, which accentuates the rise in the stock, analysts note charts.Since August 25, the title was up over 13%.

• EADS (-1.07% to 21.640 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (-0.53% to 10.285 euros) and EuropaCorp (-0.91% to 3.26 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -3.27% to 26.605 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: 0.10% to 20.510 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: 2.12% to 67.29 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: -1.27% to 49.29 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline.U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: + 1.36% to 12.315 euros, Vivendi: 0.16% to 16.090 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million. Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

The market for sports rights is held by three giants. IMG, the world, which weighs about 1.5 billion euros of turnover, is owned by Forstmann Little and the fund would be about to be sold. The world number two with Infront is 600 million euros in turnover with, the key, an estimated gross operating margin from 10% to 15%. It beats out number three, Sportfive, bought in 2006 by the Lagardère Group for 865 million euros.Sportfive is clearly slowing, and in 2010, its activity dropped by 23% to 396 million euros.

"Infront's activity is divided into four more or less equivalent. Football with the rights of the German, Italian League (Lega Calcio) and the rights of big clubs like AC Milan, Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen. Then there are winter sports, such as [events of] the International Ski Federation, or [of] the International Federation of ice hockey. And summer sports such as volleyball, handball and basketball in China. Finally, Infront carries the audiovisual production of major events in human as well as World Cup football and the championship of France Ligue 1, "said Robert Xavier, a partner at Bridgepoint in Paris guaranteed approval cash loans.

For an investment fund, Infront has some nice features.About 80% of its turnover is earned from January 1 and the rate of renewal of contracts with rights holders to 90%. In addition, the fund has this job because it has the past five years the Spanish company Dorna, which manages the Grand Prix motorcycle.

Disintermediation

The global market for sports rights is estimated at $ 121 billion in 2011 and that of media rights and sponsorship is $ 56 billion. If the market is still growing at a rate of 4 to 5% a year, it faces a disintermediation. "The leading licensors such as UEFA, FIFA, the International Olympic Committee have the means to directly sell their rights," says Robert Xavier.

However, Bridgepoint estimates that there are significant growth drivers for Infront. Geographically first.Very presence in Europe and Asia, Infront has yet to conquer Great Britain and South America, a continent with very dynamic football World Cup 2014 and Olympics 2016 in Brazil.

The progressive development of human-related internet sports is another area of ​​growth. Finally, Bridgepoint does not hide that he may run when the throw-in sports rights held by Sportfive far as the African Cup of Nations.

Greenpeace officials, who estimate that 5.20 euros per tonne the cost of this energy source on the health of the Chinese, have swallowed their breakfast "organic" by browsing through a US-Finnish study play down the impact of coal on the environment. According to Professor Kaufmann of Boston University, the sulfur released by 1400 the country's thermal power blocks sunlight personal loans for people with bad credit. Between 2003 and 2007, sulfur offset the increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide.

The researcher points out that the installation of scrubbers in 2009 and 2010 in the coal coincides with a rise in temperatures.Increase already noticeable in the 1970s when the West began to fight against acid rain. The trend is not expected to diminish as the Middle Kingdom takes 70% of its energy from coal. Charles Gautier

Still, while Germany shows loud and clear preference for the French candidate, the support of both countries to Carstens appears more timid.Australia and Canada underline the very strong indeed credibility of both candidates and their "weapons" to ensure the legitimacy of the IMF. This commitment shy, Mexico seems to reap the benefits of an intense lobbying. June 7, after a meeting in Ottawa with Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty and the boss of the Bank of Canada, Mark Carney, Augustin Carstens had already revealed that the country would welcome a new head of the IMF International from an emerging economy. This is now confirmed. Besides these two new support, the Mexican has the support of a dozen South American countries.

For Nicolas Sarkozy, has already achieved success

This joint statement does not seem to really change the forces.Canada is indeed at the head of a constituency (group of countries) representing only 3.61% of the votes in the institution. The only real surprise, Ottawa will generally be the position of its U.S. neighbor … who, in turn, always reserves his choice.

The latest statements by Timothy Geithner, however, argue for a broad preference for the French bid. Through a spokesman, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury has in fact hired Thursday, "strong leadership skills and experience of the Minister," making it a candidate "exceptionally competent" for the position Executive Director. If the United States confirmed this view, Christine Lagarde, who already has the support of Europe (almost one third of the votes on the Executive Board of the IMF), garnering 16.8% of extra votes.French side, the case is already bent to Nicolas Sarkozy, who is already winning his Economy Minister, before the final decision expected by June 30: "A woman at the IMF, is history! And that's us! "The president reportedly said according to remarks reported by Le Parisien.

Finally, the French enjoy today to the disunity of the emerging countries, the so-called BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). Faced with their indecision, Carstens strategy to present himself as the candidate of developing countries, seems to have a hard time fly. Especially since his whole campaign, and during his oral exam Thursday at the IMF, Christine Lagarde has repeatedly hammered his desire to ensure, if elected, more representative of emerging countries in the institution .

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